Closings slowed sharply
Closed sales fell 29.7%, from 91 to 64 homes.

A monthly, data-first look at what's happening in Hutto real estate — no sales-talk, just the numbers and what they mean for buyers and sellers.
Hutto’s September data shows a substantial slowdown in completed sales alongside expanding inventory. Closings declined 29.7%, while active listings increased 20.1%. Estimated months of inventory rose from 4.32 to 7.38. Closed prices remained relatively stable: the median decreased 0.4% to $335,495, and the average increased 0.9%. Sellers continued contributing significant buyer closing costs, averaging $8,418. Pending activity provided a stronger forward-looking signal — combined Pending and Under Contract inventory increased 8.6%, suggesting potential for a partial recovery in closings.
Combined Pending and Under Contract inventory increased from 139 to 151 homes. This stronger contract pipeline contrasts with September’s lower completed-sale volume. Homes without a HOA uses Active listings with an HOA Requirement other than “Mandatory”; all qualifying entries have blank HOA fields, so these counts do not confirm the properties have no HOA. Homes priced below $300k uses a list price below $301,000 (strictly below $300,000: 125 in August and 147 in September).
The median and price per square foot edged lower, while the average sale price increased slightly — relatively stable transaction prices despite slower sales volume. Seller-paid buyer closing costs appeared on 45 of 64 September closings (70.3%), nearly unchanged from August. Concession averages include reported zeros; Closed Price to List Price % averages the exported CP$/LP$ % field and does not deduct concessions.
Pending prices moved lower even as the pending count increased, suggesting stronger contract activity in the lower-priced portion of inventory. The September pending median was approximately $47,271 below the active median; home size, condition and property mix contribute to this gap. These comparisons measure each export’s inventory composition, rather than price changes on the same homes.
September’s closed homes took approximately 4.2% longer to sell (72.1 vs 69.1 days). The lower active DOM (76.8 vs 88.3 days) does not establish faster sales — new inventory and removal of older listings can reduce that average while total inventory grows. DOM averages exclude blanks. Coverage: August Closed 90/91 and Active 390/393; September Closed 64/64 and Active 466/472.
Ranked by average DOM among September closed listings, using subdivision names exactly as exported. Star Ranch Ph 1A Sec 7 also recorded 7 days, tying for third. Each result represents one closing, so it describes an individual transaction rather than typical community selling speed.
Among subdivision labels with at least three September closings, the fastest were Emory Crossing: 50.8 days across 5 sales, Prairie Winds: 77.8 days across 10 sales, and Cotton Brook: 87.7 days across 3 sales.
August: 4.32 months · 23.16% absorption — Balanced market; both measures meet the balanced thresholds.
September: 7.38 months · 13.56% absorption — a Buyer’s-Market Signal, with no exact match in the classification rules. Absorption below 14% meets the buyer’s-market criterion, but 7.38 months falls outside the 3.1–5-month band for that category and exceeds the buyer-leaning band. The data indicates increased buyer negotiating room: substantially more inventory competing for fewer completed sales.
Months of Inventory: Active ÷ monthly Closed. Absorption Rate: monthly Closed ÷ Active × 100.
Closed sales fell 29.7%, from 91 to 64 homes.
Active listings rose 20.1% to 472, lifting months of inventory to 7.38.
Pending + Under Contract rose 8.6%, from 139 to 151 homes.
Median −0.4% to $335,495; average +0.9% to $356,801.
Seller-paid costs averaged $8,418 and appeared on 70.3% of closings.
Listings below $300K rose 16.3% to 150 — about 31.8% of active inventory.
Pending median fell 2.9% to $299,999, about $47,271 below the active median.
Absorption fell 9.6 points to 13.56%, below the 14% buyer’s-market threshold.
The most defensible prediction is continued buyer-favorable conditionsduring October 2026, with potential for a partial recovery in closings.

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